{"id":266,"date":"2023-01-13T19:35:52","date_gmt":"2023-01-13T19:35:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/?p=266"},"modified":"2023-02-25T15:05:15","modified_gmt":"2023-02-25T15:05:15","slug":"cresterea-pib-al-germaniei-in-2022-estimata-la-1-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/2023\/01\/13\/cresterea-pib-al-germaniei-in-2022-estimata-la-1-9\/","title":{"rendered":"Germania stagneaza in trimestrul IV"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n<p class=\"has-vivid-red-color has-text-color wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Stire<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cresterea anuala a PIB in Germania in 2022 a fost estimata la 1.9%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-vivid-red-color has-text-color wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Interpretare<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Putin peste asteptari. Usor pozitiv pentru materii prime (commodities), bursele europene, marginal pentru EUR.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Valoarea de 1.9% este putin peste asteptarile de 1.8%. <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Atentie: este vorba despre o prima estimare<\/span>, performanta reala din luna decembrie fiind inca prea devreme a fi cuantificata precis pe baza datelor reale.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ce ne spune aceasta valoare este ca economia germana a stagnat in trimestrul IV. Dar acest fapt este perceput ca pozitiv deoarece asteptarile generale erau ca Germania sa fi intrat deja in contractie spre sfarsitul anului.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Care sunt motivele acestei performante? Consumatorii au continuat sa cheltuie banii acumulati in pandemie, inclusiv datorita pachetului masiv de sprijin din partea guvernului. Industria a performat relativ bine, dupa rezolvarea problemelor de aprovizionare din ultimii doi ani. Dar performanta este foarte variata. Industria auto a crescut; nu uitati ca firmele germane aveau o lunga lista de comenzi inca neonorate. Sectoarele intens consumatoare de energie, precum industria chimica, au scazut semnificativ.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Data fiind iarna blanda, scaderea preturilor la energie, reducerea nevoii de sprijin bugetar, riscul de recesiune reflectat in preturile de pe piata pare ca a scazut notabil. Recenta cresterea a burselor europene este determinata de aceasta reevaluare a riscului de recesiune.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-vivid-red-color has-text-color wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Links<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.destatis.de\/EN\/Home\/_node.html\">Gross domestic product up 1.9% in 2022 &#8211; Federal Statistical Office of Germany<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/europes-mild-winter-cushions-economic-blow-of-ukraine-war-11673604102\">Europe\u2019s Mild Winter Cushions Economic Blow of Ukraine War &#8211; WSJ<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-01-13\/german-economy-slowed-sharply-in-2022-as-war-sank-covid-rebound\">German Recession Fears Ease on Surprise Year-End Stagnation \u2013 Bloomberg<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/bc663ce9-8c13-4715-a158-41fd200534d5\">Germany\u2019s economy grew 1.9% in 2022 \u2013 FT<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/think.ing.com\/snaps\/german-economy-still-defies-recession\/\">German economy still defies recession \u2013 ING<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Putin peste asteptari. Usor pozitiv pentru materii prime (commodities), bursele europene, marginal pentru EUR.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bursa","category-pib"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/266","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=266"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/266\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1303,"href":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/266\/revisions\/1303"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fundamental.ro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}